Analytics
 Math 452  Spring 2013

TuTh 11:3012:4 in
PFA 106
Instructor: Dr. YAHDI
(At my Webpage
and on Blackboard
you will find this syllabus,
homework assignments and useful links.)

Office
hours:
(TWH910:00am. I don't mind at all if you just stop
by,
but be sure to make an appointment in person, by phone, or by email
Office: Pfahler 101F  Phone:
409 3294
email: myahdi@ursinus.edu
Webpage: webpages.ursinus.edu/myahdi

Textbooks. You can use the regular or the ebook. QUANTITATIVE METH.F/BUSINESSW/ACCESS  Edition: 12TH 13.
Author: ANDERSON, ISBN: 9780840062338, Publisher: CENGAGE L, 2012 [ or ecopy via : http://www.coursesmart.com/IR/1124476/9780840062338?__hdv=6.8]
 Contents. The course
will "uncover" the following material:
 Week 1: Course
Overview, Introductions (Ch. 1), and Expectations
 Week 2: Introduction
to Probability (Ch. 2) & Probability Distributions (Ch. 3)
 Week 34: Decision
Analysis (Ch. 4)
 Week 45: Game Theory
(Ch. 5)
 Week 67: Time Series
Analysis and Forecasting (Ch 6)
 Week 8: Project
Management (TBD)
 Week 910: Linear Programming Ch
7, 8, 9
 Week 1113: TDB (Ch.
12, 13, 14, 16, 17)
 Week 14 Student
Presentations
 Prerequisites.
Prerequisite: MATH105 or 111, and one from BE220, MATH141, MATH442 or
permission of the instructor.
·
Course Objectives. This course examines
mathematical and modeling processes used in “Analytics” to identify, analyze,
interpret, predict, and present results, so as to transfer quantitative
information into decisions, with a focus on business and economics settings.
The goal is to provide a strong conceptual understanding of analytics
methodology and the role it plays to gain valuable knowledge and guide decision
making. Analytics software, actual examples in business settings and
"ProblemScenario Approach" will be used to foster applied learning
and understanding of the mathematical concepts. Cases of increasing complexity
will be used to emphasize problem description, definition, and formulation.
Topics will include a selection from quantitative analysis; decision
analysis/making; risk and sensitivity analysis; game theory, time series and
forecasting; linear programing; distribution and network models; inventory models;
optimization; scheduling; simulation; probability distributions; and Markov
processes. The mathematical and statistical basis for decisionmaking will be
reviewed.
 Computers. This course may incorporate the use of
computer software for scientific computing and programing needs for the
course and the projects. It is not necessary to bring a laptop to class
every session. If a laptop is required, notice given at least one class
session prior. Please bring your calculator to every class (if you do not have
one, then your laptop).
·
Time
Requirement.
This is a 4 credit hour class
meeting for 3 hours/week. The 4th hour is addressed through additional
course activities and assignments to be completed outside, either independently
or in small groups. In addition to readings, papers and projects, examples of
auxiliary activities are listed below. Most of the learning takes place outside the classroom. I
expect that you spend an absolute minimum of 8 hours a week outside of class
on solving homework problems, reading the textbook and reviewing your class
notes. Regular study is much better than cramming. If you do not have the time
necessary, you should take the course some other semester.
 Homework
I will regularly assign homework. As
time allows, we will discuss in class certain assigned problems where you
have questions. Homework will include reading assignments. Although the
homework will not be collected or graded, the prospect of quizzes and
inclass Participations should be encouragement enough for you to do the
work. It is assigned to help you understand the material and prepare you
for subsequent exams. It is essential for your success in this class
that you diligently work all the homework problems. Please, ask
questions when you do not understand.
 Inclass Participations and Presentations.
They will take center stage during class meetings. Each Student should
participate fully in class by answering questions and contributing to
discussion. From time to time you will be asked to present solutions to
problems in class and explain results from the homework or reading
assignments. Your grade will depend on your mastery of the details, the
main points and the associated theoretical context. During the
presentation, either I or other class members will be free to ask
questions, and it is important that you try to answer such queries. Your
inclass work, evaluated for both quality and frequency, will contribute
for 10% of your grade.
 TakeHomeQuizzes. Regularly you will be
given TakeHomeQuizzes to be collected at the beginning of the
following class. You must work the TakeHomeQuizzes as a group of 2
students, and each group should turn in only one paper for grading. While
in class, you may be asked (randomly) to present to the class your work on
a problem from the TakeHomeQuiz! You must regularly check the HW web
page for assigned quizzes, homework, solutions, etc.... Mathematics is
a process, not a final answer, and your work should reflect that, you will
get no credit for simply writing down the answer: you must show your
work. Quiz problems will be identical to prior homework assignments
and/or designed to check on your understanding of the assigned reading
material. I will gladly provide assistance if needed, so do not hesitate
to contact me if you need help or hints for some assigned problems. There
will be no makeup quizzes: your grade for the missed quiz is zero, but
your worst (TakeHome) quiz will be dropped, the others will make up your
quiz score, which accounts for 10% of your grade.
 Tests. Three tests will be given in class on the
following dates (approximately) : Week 5, Week 9, Week 14
 Your
worst test will be dropped. Each of the two others will make 20% of
your grade for the class. Makeup tests will only be given under
exceptional circumstances (to be documented), and only if you notify me
prior to the exam date. If a makeup is not given, your grade for the
missed test is zero.
 Final. The final on May xx at xx is mandatory and
comprehensive. It counts 20 % of your grade. No makeup final will
be given.
 Group Projects. There
will be 3 or 4 (laboratory) group projects (34 students per group). The
written reports will be graded; only one report per group is necessary,
and each member will receive the same score. The project report scores
count a total of 20% of your grade. The goal of the projects is to
combine multiple concepts and solve difficult problems. Moreover, the
projects will give you some experience in the practice of modeling and
solving differential equations using the computer, and showing off your
verbal prowess in the reports. For more information go to the link: Guide to Labs & Projects.
 Attendance. You are required to attend every class. You
must adhere to the College
attendance policies as outlined in the College catalog. Moreover, any
absences in excess will affect the grade given for the borderline cases.
To avoid unnecessary class disruptions you are expected to arrive on time
and remain seated until the class is dismissed.
 Drop Policy. The class schedule lists March 28 as the
last day to drop without recording a failure.
 Academic Honesty. Students have an obligation to act ethically
concerning academic matters. Lying, cheating, plagiarism, and other forms
of academic dishonesty violate the spirit of mutual respect and
collaboration and corrode the atmosphere of openness and free inquiry upon
which the educational process is based. The consequences of any violation
are serious. See the Student
Handbooks.
 Inclement
Weather day. check your email.
 If I am unable to make it to class, I will send
you an email and/or place a phone message at my office phone.
· Help.
·
You
have to realize that if you are embarrassed to accept help, it is more
embarrassing to get a grade that does not represent your full potential
·
At my Web page you
will find this syllabus, the homework assignment, practice
tests, solutions of some tests and problems, and useful links.
·
If you have problems with the course material, need
to be absent for a test, or have any other circumstance that may affect your
performance in the course, contact me as soon as possible.
· Remarks.
·
Working
problems is a major part of your course preparation, but it is not all that you
must do. You must first make an effort to understand the content of a section
before you attempt the problems. You do this by reviewing and possibly rewriting
your class notes and by studying the section and working through the examples
presented therein. Once you feel comfortable with the material, you work the
problems and check answers to confirm your understanding.
·
For your benefit, you are strongly encouraged to work out the
homework problems in groups.
·
You cannot be ``taught'' everything in the classroom. The
instructor's job is primarily to provide a framework, with some of the
particulars, to guide you in doing your learning of the concepts and methods
that comprise the material of the course. It is your responsibility to learn
the material. You are expected to read the textbook, and use my web page
for this course for comprehension. They give the detailed account of the
material of the course. They also contain many examples of problems worked out
and practice quizzes and exams. These should be used to supplement those you
see in the lecture. The course's approach is intended to be different. If you
have had a math course already you will probably find much that is unfamiliar
and a very different emphasis on things you may think you know already. Be
alert to this and remember that previous experience is unlikely to be enough to
coast on. Treat each topic as if you were meeting it for the first time, and be
alert to make sure you understand each day's material before the next class
meeting.
·
Some Tips for Successful Math Study.
There is nothing about math that makes learning it different and more difficult
than learning other subjects. Still, most students enter math classes with
attitudes and expectations that make success difficult. In this link you will
find some strategies that will help you be successful in the math courses that
you are studying.
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